The Sapphire Capitals Analytics Suite
The Math Of Probability & Reward-Risk Ratio Edge
A systematic approach to market probability using historical Daily seasonality, Intraday Seasonality, anomalous volume, Structural Pivots and mechanical risk management
The Problem with "Signals"
Most trading tools focus on the “What.” They provide signals without context or risk parameters. In a probabilistic environment, a signal without a Reward-to-Risk Ratio (RRR) is just a guess.
Sapphire Capitals was built to solve the “How Much.” We don’t predict the future; we identify historical windows where the mathematical expectancy is shifted in your favor.
The Core Framework Of Probability & RRR
Every analytical output from our suite is filtered through a strict probability and RRR framework.
- Probability Threshold: You define what probability you are willing to work with. We only flag setups with robust historical backtesting.
- RRR Threshold: You have the choice at what RRR you want to deal with. This couples with Probability framework are at the core of positive expectancy.
- Expectancy-Driven: If the math doesn’t work over a 100-trade sample size, the apps do not flag it.
The Four Pillars of the Suite
The Seasonality Engine [Macro]
Identify institutional “muscle memory” windows for any number of years of your choice. Best for log-term bias and swing-trading alignment.
Request for an university research paper on why an investment strategy based on seasonal trends beats all other strategies; click the WhatsApp button on this page or drop an email to admin@sapphirecapitals.com.
The Volume Spike Tracker [Catalyst]
Detects anomalous institutional footprints (say 2.5X of mean 30-day average volume) before the price expansion. Best for identifying the high market interest and participation; key entry points.
Sometime the idea is to look at one specific Stock or ETF of interest and see how does that fit into the overall scheme of things.
Want to check out some institutional research papers why volume spikes are very potent indication of strong market interest and participation? Please send us a message via WhatsApp or drop us an email at admin@sapphirecapitals.com.
The Price Action Auditor [Confirmation]
Filters market noise to find structural pivots and trend-exhaustion levels. Best for confirming entries with mechnical precision.
Ideally there should be multi-dimensional analysis possible, for example, one might like to check out just one Stock or ETF for their price action signature over a number of years.
Price action trading being one of the most popular among retail as well as institutional traders, there is no dearth of research papers, one of which was the basis of this app. Click on the WhatsApp icon to send us a message or drop us an email at admin@sapphirecapitals.com for a copy of the research paper.
The Intraday Execution App [Tactical]
Intraday window where the probability and reward-risk ratio align over a number of days for positive expectancy.
Transparency & Data
We believe in “Show, Don’t Tell.”
- Summary report, example of Seasonality analytic app shown
- Detailed report example shown of one section for one stock from the country and one index
- Visual, one of the three charting options shown as an example
Summary report
Detailed report
Histogram chart
If you are looking to find more info on any of these apps, do get in touch with our traders, architects and developers.
Next Steps
If you value systematic discipline over market hype, there are two ways to engage and you know the drill by now!
Send us a WhatsApp message or drop us an email at admin@sapphirecapitals.com.
The Country's Stocks And ETFs Our Apps Currently Support
Swing trading apps are currently available for all the Stocks in the major Indices and ETFs of the following countries in four continents:
Asia: India, Singapore, Philippines, Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Malaysia and China;
Europe: UK, Germany, France, Austria, Italy, Poland, Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, Spain, Portugal, Norway, Luxembourg, Ireland, Greece, Finland, Denmark and Belgium;
Oceania: Australia and New Zealand; and
The Americas: USA, Canada, Brazil, Chile, Mexico and Peru;
This makes up to about 45,000 Stocks and ETFs across 150 indices in about 36 countries.
The intraday day-trading app currently supports top liquid Stocks and ETFs of Australia, India, UK and USA.
Want To Know More About These Apps?
Disclaimer
Trading in Financial markets has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to trade. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell any of the financial instruments mentioned in Sapphire Capital’s trading apps.
No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The information provided by the trading apps is for educational and research purposes only and are not intended to provide financial advice. Any statements about profits or income, expressed or implied, do not represent a guarantee. You accept full responsibilities for your actions, trades, profit or loss, and agree not to hold the Sapphire Capitals responsible in any and all ways.
Sapphire Capitals is NOT a financial services company as defined by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) or any similar organisation anywhere else in the world as:
- We do not provide financial product advice to our customers;
- We do not deal in a financial product such as buying or selling shares on behalf of a client or issuing interests in a managed investment scheme;
- We do not make a market for a financial product; and also
- We do not operate a registered managed investment scheme.